By the Zambia Meteorological Department
GENERAL SITUATION
Generally, model analysis indicates that much of Zambia is likely to receive Normal to Above Normal rainfall during the 2019/2020 rainfall season.
DETAILED FORECAST
October, November and December (OND): there is a high chance of receiving Above Normal rainfall for most parts of the country except for the north-eastern part which has a likelihood of receiving Normal to Below Normal rainfall.
November, December and January (NDJ): the southern half of the country is likely to receive Above Normal Rainfall while the northern half has a high chance of receiving Normal to Above Normal rainfall with the exception of the north-eastern portions where there is a likelihood for Normal to Below Normal rainfall.
December, January and February (DJF): there is a high likelihood of receiving Normal to Above Normal rainfall for the southern half of the country while the northern half has a high chance of recording Above Normal Rainfall.
January, February and March (JFM): the northern half of the country has a high chance of receiving Normal to Above Normal Rainfall while the southern half is likely to received Normal to Below Normal Rainfall
NOTE:
ABOVE NORMAL: Rainfall greater than 125% of the average for the period 1981 to 2010 (OND) & 1980 to 2010 (JFM)
NORMAL: Rainfall between 75% and 125% of the average for the period 1981 to 2010 (OND) & 1980 to 2010 (JFM)
BELOW NORMAL: Rainfall less than 75% of the average for the period 1981 to 2010 (OND) & 1980 to 2010 (JFM).