SUMMARY OF THE 2019/2020 RAINY SEASON FORECAST

By the Zambia Meteorological Department

GENERAL SITUATION

Generally, model analysis indicates that much of Zambia is likely to receive Normal to Above Normal rainfall during the 2019/2020 rainfall season.

DETAILED FORECAST

October, November and December (OND): there is a high chance of receiving Above Normal rainfall for most parts of the country except for the north-eastern part which has a likelihood of receiving Normal to Below Normal rainfall.

November, December and January (NDJ): the southern half of the country is likely to receive Above Normal Rainfall while the northern half has a high chance of receiving Normal to Above Normal rainfall with the exception of the north-eastern portions where there is a likelihood for Normal to Below Normal rainfall.

December, January and February (DJF): there is a high likelihood of receiving Normal to Above Normal rainfall for the southern half of the country while the northern half has a high chance of recording Above Normal Rainfall.

January, February and March (JFM): the northern half of the country has a high chance of receiving Normal to Above Normal Rainfall while the southern half is likely to received Normal to Below Normal Rainfall

NOTE:

ABOVE NORMAL: Rainfall greater than 125% of the average for the period 1981 to 2010 (OND) & 1980 to 2010 (JFM)

NORMAL: Rainfall between 75% and 125% of the average for the period 1981 to 2010 (OND) & 1980 to 2010 (JFM)

BELOW NORMAL: Rainfall less than 75% of the average for the period 1981 to 2010 (OND) & 1980 to 2010 (JFM).

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Tapela Lungu

    Tapela Lungu is an award winning writer and Media and Communication studies student at the University of Zambia who has a strong passion to write, read and explore. He is currently the Managing Editor for the online magazine. As a writer he has a strong interest for human interest stories, community news and stories that impact human development and health.

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